I'm about ready to end all speculation, aren't you? My final take on how I see the field. Man is there a lot of know-it-all mentality out there based upon predicting what the selection committee is going to do. I don't do that. Here's how I would seed the field. If I'm wrong, no biggie. I fully expect that to happen. People get way to uppity about this bubble stuff, ... Read More

Well, the bids have to go somewhere, don't they? We can complain about how weak this bubble is all we want to, but a few of these teams are going to find a way into the field. I'll put up my final bubble picture/predictions Sunday morning. I remind you, this is now how I think the committee is going pick; it's how I think the field should be selected. Makes ... Read More

One big upset, a few unwatchable games and a bubble that continues to permeate throughout the landscape. What's not to love?

Seven more locks into the crop this week. The spots are filling up quickly. Going with the same scenarios I put out last week. • New Mexico takes the MWC auto bid • Temple takes the A10 auto bid • UTEP takes the C-USA auto bid (but still listed where they fall as an at-large) • All BCS conferences have a lock take the auto bid I'm also going to assume the leaders of the small ... Read More

` When putting together the new bubble field each week, I usually love the process but lament the amount of teams I have to pour through in order to get a full scope of how wide-ranging the field is. That doesn't seem to be a problem this year. I know recent seasons have seen some fairly soft bubbles, but this could be an incredibly ironic year to be debating expanding the format ... Read More

Now we're in the throes of it all. Each week, more pressure — yet fewer teams. A lot of people are bored by bubble talk; I'm enthralled by it. This feature takes me about three hours each week to write, research and put together, but it's hardly a tedious task. Let's look at the new field. I'm still role-playing the following scenarios: the locks take the auto bids. Plus, all multiple-bid leagues ... Read More

The field seems to get more like oil and water each week. The popular opinion this week: five or six Atlantic 10 teams in. I've only got three. How did I get here?

It's taken a few days weeks, but it's finally here! Don’t stomp too hard; you’ll surely pop it. Don’t dance too quickly; you’ll likely lose your footing. Don’t stand still; the surface beneath you will sink in. Yes, the bubble is quite the fleeting menace. This feature is not about projecting the field or anticipating what might happen. This is how I see the field of 65 and who I think ... Read More

So. Here we are. Our Christmas Day. Jay Bilas is ready to get pissed. Digger Phelps is ready to proclaim three or four teams "are just on a mission." Hubert Davis? Hell, what won't he laugh at? And Creighton is not on my board. The Blue Birds don't have one good win against the RPI top 50; seven losses to teams less than 100. If Davidson's not in the conversation, why ... Read More

this is the penultimate edition of Dancing on the Bubble for the 2008-09 season. My final opinion on the matter will go up Saturday night, and my actual bracket prediction will go to press early Sunday morning. Here's the glossy bubble surface according to my eyes as of Tuesday morning. Locks: Locks taking auto bids: Bubblers taking auto bids: That’s 27 locks from nine different conferences above. Meaning that 18 at-large spots ... Read More

Lot of shakeups around the land last night. Here's the latest look at who I think is in and where the rest stand. The locks: That's 24 locks from nine different conferences. Meaning that 15 at-large spots are now taken. 34-15= 19 spots left. It's all starting to get really interesting. Note: ALL RECORDS AND RANKINGS ARE AS OF THURSDAY AFTERNOON. (Record ... Read More

It's getting to crunch time. Joe Lunardi won't get off your television screen; I hate that. I avoid that man and his toupee at all costs. After all, let's get real: predicting the actual group of 65 isn't that hard. Thirty-one bids are spoken for, and another 30 are pretty much cake to predict. It's that final two or three that's tough — and even then, who's going to give you ... Read More

Here’s the first group of locks this season. All of these teams can afford to lose every single game until Selection Sunday and still get a bid. Only three conferences are represented in the group above. With seven teams total, that means four at-larges will be eaten up. That brings the number of spots available from 34 to 30, but there will be two more automatics from the BCS schools, and ... Read More

More and more, I'm seeing a soft, soft bubble. Soft = weak teams. There are still no locks. Again, my definition of a lock a team can afford to lose every single game for the remainder of the season and still be granted an at-large berth despite that. It’s safe to say that no one is safe yet. I’m litigious with this, I know, but I do it purposefully in order to ... Read More

This feature will not be about projecting the field or anticipating what might happen. No, this is how I see the field of 65 and who I think should be in; all of this is according to my eyes and my judgment. And no, I do not read any Bracketology. As I’ve stated before, Lunardi is just too good at what he does that he takes the fun out of ... Read More

Don’t stomp too hard; you’ll surely pop it. Don’t dance too quickly; you’ll likely lose your footing. Don’t stand still; the surface beneath you will sink in. Yes, the bubble is quite the fleeting menace. This feature will not be about projecting the field or anticipating what might happen. No, this is how I see the field of 65 and who I think should be in; all of this is according ... Read More

I've been told that these are long, but I know I've got new eyes to the site occassionally, so I'll still keep up basic stats in order to allow you to decide for yourselves who should be in/out. St. Joe's and Vegas lock themselves up with wins yesterday. And maybe the picture is clearer than you think. Why? Well, if so many teams lost, why should the bubble change all THAT ... Read More

All of these teams lost yesterday: Oregon, Florida, Ole Miss, Maryland, Dayton, Arizona State, Baylor, Villanova and UAB. Tag on Syracuse from Wednesday, and maybe the picture is clearer than you think. Why? Well, if so many teams lost, why should the bubble change all THAT much? For all of the talk that there is over "nobody wants to make this thing! No one's winning!" maybe not all that much ... Read More